Paris vs Olympique Lyonnais: predictions, H2H and market odds

Paris have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.76 expected goals for, 1.10 against). Olympique Lyonnais have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.38 expected goals for, 1.12 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Paris's recent matches and 60% of Olympique Lyonnais's; 70% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 2 meetings Paris won 0, Olympique Lyonnais won 0 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 8 Mar 2026, finished Olympique Lyonnais 1–1 Paris.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 61%. Kepler's model projects 1.46–1.29 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.