Palmeiras vs Bahia head to head

In their last 7 meetings Palmeiras won 4, Bahia won 3 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 5 Apr 2026, finished Bahia 1–2 Palmeiras.

4Wins

0Draws

3Wins

5 Apr 2026BahiaPalmeiras121-2
28 Sept 2025BahiaPalmeiras101-0
27 Apr 2025PalmeirasBahia010-1
20 Nov 2024BahiaPalmeiras121-2
7 Jul 2024PalmeirasBahia212-1
28 Oct 2023PalmeirasBahia101-0
22 Jun 2023BahiaPalmeiras101-0

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Palmeiras vs Bahia predicted score

Expected goals

1.96–0.77

Most likely score

1–0

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	56%	58%
Over 2.5	58%	60%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Palmeiras vs Bahia odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.66	bet365	57.9%
No	2.20	Betfair	42.1%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.62	Pinnacle	59.5%
Under 2.5	2.42	1xbet	40.5%

odds updated 00:20 UTC · 6 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Braulio da Silva Machado

Brazil

Yellow cards: 4.1 per match
Red cards: 0.14 per match
Fouls: 22.3 per match
Penalties: 0.57 per match

Matches this season: 7

Kepler in Serie A

15 settled picks · ROI −39.4% · average CLV +2.45%

Full track record →