Palermo vs Carrarese: predictions, H2H and market odds

Palermo have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.74 expected goals for, 1.33 against). Carrarese have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (0.97 expected goals for, 0.98 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Palermo's recent matches and 40% of Carrarese's; 50% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Palermo won 2, Carrarese won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 8 Mar 2026, finished Carrarese 0–1 Palermo.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 61%. Kepler's model projects 1.74–0.82 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.