Catanzaro vs Ascoli: predictions, H2H and market odds

Catanzaro have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.25 expected goals for, 1.71 against). Ascoli have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.17 expected goals for, 1.14 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Catanzaro's recent matches and 60% of Ascoli's; 50% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Catanzaro won 1, Ascoli won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 10 Feb 2024, finished Catanzaro 3–2 Ascoli.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%. Kepler's model projects 1.35–0.97 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.