Olympique Lyonnais vs Rennes: predictions, H2H and market odds

Olympique Lyonnais have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.39 expected goals for, 1.17 against). Rennes have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.61 expected goals for, 1.65 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Olympique Lyonnais's recent matches and 80% of Rennes's; 60% and 90% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings Olympique Lyonnais won 4, Rennes won 6 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 3 May 2026, finished Olympique Lyonnais 4–2 Rennes.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 62%. Kepler's model projects 1.80–1.40 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.