Novorizontino vs São Bernardo: predictions, H2H and market odds

Novorizontino have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.59 expected goals for, 0.78 against). São Bernardo have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.18 expected goals for, 1.14 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Novorizontino's recent matches and 50% of São Bernardo's; 70% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. Their only previous meeting in our data, on 31 May 2026, finished São Bernardo 1–1 Novorizontino.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 52%. Kepler's model projects 1.46–0.85 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.