Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta: predictions, H2H and market odds

Novorizontino have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded (2.09 expected goals for, 0.86 against). Ponte Preta have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 9 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.1 goals scored and 2.6 conceded (0.83 expected goals for, 2.24 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Novorizontino's recent matches and 0% of Ponte Preta's; 70% and 20% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 7 meetings Novorizontino won 4, Ponte Preta won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 22 Jun 2026, finished Ponte Preta 0–2 Novorizontino.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 33% and over 2.5 goals at 75%. Kepler's model projects 2.53–0.42 in expected goals, with 2–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.