Novorizontino vs Goiás: predictions, H2H and market odds

Novorizontino have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.50 expected goals for, 0.79 against). Goiás have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.14 expected goals for, 0.99 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Novorizontino's recent matches and 40% of Goiás's; 60% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 5 meetings Novorizontino won 3, Goiás won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 10 Jun 2026, finished Goiás 0–4 Novorizontino.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 47%. Kepler's model projects 1.50–0.74 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 53%.