Norwich City vs Bolton Wanderers: predictions, H2H and market odds

Norwich City have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.60 expected goals for, 1.59 against). Bolton Wanderers have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.39 expected goals for, 1.79 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Norwich City's recent matches and 40% of Bolton Wanderers's; 80% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. The two have no previous meeting in our data.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 65%. Kepler's model projects 2.14–0.93 in expected goals, with 2–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.