Northampton Town vs Newport County: predictions, H2H and market odds

Northampton Town have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded (1.08 expected goals for, 1.67 against). Newport County have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (1.54 expected goals for, 1.49 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Northampton Town's recent matches and 70% of Newport County's; 50% and 80% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Northampton Town won 2, Newport County won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 7 Apr 2023, finished Newport County 3–0 Northampton Town.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 47%. Kepler's model projects 1.19–0.69 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.