Newcastle United vs Aston Villa: predictions, H2H and market odds

Newcastle United have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.35 expected goals for, 1.58 against). Aston Villa have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.47 expected goals for, 1.34 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Newcastle United's recent matches and 70% of Aston Villa's; 70% and 80% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings Newcastle United won 5, Aston Villa won 4 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 25 Jan 2026, finished Newcastle United 0–2 Aston Villa.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.