Kepler

FixturesSerie B · Brazil · Round 33

Kick-off: Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UTCStadium: Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho, Recife

Náutico

0 – 2Full time

Vila Nova

Náutico vs Vila Nova head to head

In their last 5 meetings Náutico won 1, Vila Nova won 4 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 20 Jun 2026, finished Vila Nova 4–3 Náutico.

1Wins

0Draws

4Wins

20 Jun 2026Vila NovaNáutico434-3
20 Aug 2022NáuticoVila Nova121-2
6 May 2022Vila NovaNáutico202-0
11 Sept 2021Vila NovaNáutico101-0
15 Jun 2021NáuticoVila Nova202-0

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Náutico vs Vila Nova predicted score

Expected goals

1.40–1.11

Most likely score

1–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	57%	50%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Náutico vs Vila Nova odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.85	Betfair	50.0%
No	1.95	WilliamHill	50.0%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	2.21	Pinnacle	43.6%
Under 2.5	1.71	Pinnacle	56.4%

odds updated 20:05 UTC · 7 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Fillho

Brazil

Yellow cards: 5.0 per match
Red cards: 0.12 per match
Fouls: 31.4 per match
Penalties: 0.13 per match

Matches this season: 8

Kepler in Serie B

4 settled picks · ROI −100.0% · average CLV +6.04%

Full track record →