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Kick-off: Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UTCStadium: Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho, Recife
Náutico and Vila Nova met on Sunday, 11 October 2026 (Serie B); it finished Náutico 0–2 Vila Nova. The match was played at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho, Recife.
Náutico have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.49 expected goals for, 1.18 against). Vila Nova have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.6 conceded (1.68 expected goals for, 1.26 against).
Both teams scored in 60% of Náutico's recent matches and 10% of Vila Nova's; 50% and 20% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 5 meetings Náutico won 1, Vila Nova won 4 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 20 Jun 2026, finished Vila Nova 4–3 Náutico.
With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 44%. Kepler's model projects 1.40–1.11 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 57%.
1Wins
4WinsNáutico vs Vila Nova was played on 11 October 2026 (Serie B).
The match was played at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho, Recife.
No: it finished Náutico 0–2 Vila Nova. Before kickoff, the market had both teams to score at 50%, margin removed. Kepler's model gives 57%. Both teams scored in 60% of Náutico's recent matches and 10% of Vila Nova's.
No: it finished Náutico 0–2 Vila Nova. Before kickoff, the market had over 2.5 goals at 44%, margin removed. 50% of Náutico's recent matches and 20% of Vila Nova's went over 2.5 goals.
In their last 5 meetings Náutico won 1, Vila Nova won 4 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 20 Jun 2026, finished Vila Nova 4–3 Náutico.
Kepler's model expects 1.40–1.11 in expected goals, and the single most likely score is 1–1.
Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.
As announced by the clubs.
1Muriel
2Arnaldo
23Igor Fernandes
10Jean Carlos
1Helton Leite
13Willian Formiga
23Jonathan Costa
4Douglas Mendes
22Hayner
5Vieira
99Janderson
10Gabriel
49DellatorreMatches this season: 8
