Napoli vs Frosinone: predictions, H2H and market odds

Napoli have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.40 expected goals for, 1.20 against). Frosinone have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded (1.65 expected goals for, 1.27 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Napoli's recent matches and 40% of Frosinone's; 50% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Napoli won 1, Frosinone won 0 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 14 Apr 2024, finished Napoli 2–2 Frosinone.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 65%. Kepler's model projects 1.78–0.96 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.