Nacional vs Academico Viseu: predictions, H2H and market odds

Nacional have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (1.00 expected goals for, 1.53 against). Academico Viseu have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.22 expected goals for, 1.72 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Nacional's recent matches and 60% of Academico Viseu's; 50% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. The two have no previous meeting in our data.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 45%. Kepler's model projects 0.64–1.84 in expected goals, with 0–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.