Motor Lublin vs Górnik Zabrze: predictions, H2H and market odds

Motor Lublin have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded (1.48 expected goals for, 1.68 against). Górnik Zabrze have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.51 expected goals for, 1.11 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Motor Lublin's recent matches and 70% of Górnik Zabrze's; 70% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 4 meetings Motor Lublin won 2, Górnik Zabrze won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 8 Mar 2026, finished Motor Lublin 0–0 Górnik Zabrze.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 53%. Kepler's model projects 1.32–1.56 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.