Kepler

FixturesLiga Portugal · Portugal · Round 8

Kick-off: Sat, 10 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTCStadium: Campo da Imaculada Conceição, Ilha da Madeira

Marítimo

1 – 2Full time

Porto

Marítimo vs Porto head to head

In their last 4 meetings Marítimo won 0, Porto won 3 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 1 Feb 2023, finished Marítimo 0–2 Porto.

0Wins

1Draws

3Wins

1 Feb 2023MarítimoPorto020-2
6 Aug 2022PortoMarítimo515-1
30 Jan 2022PortoMarítimo212-1
22 Aug 2021MarítimoPorto111-1

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Marítimo vs Porto predicted score

Expected goals

0.61–2.14

Most likely score

0–2

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	48%	38%
Over 2.5	56%	53%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Marítimo vs Porto odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	2.45	Betfair	38.4%
No	1.62	WilliamHill	61.6%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.84	Sbo	52.9%
Under 2.5	2.07	1xbet	47.1%

odds updated 16:05 UTC · 7 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

João António Ferreira Gonçalves

Portugal

Yellow cards: 4.0 per match
Red cards: 0.0 per match
Fouls: 28.3 per match
Penalties: 0.5 per match

Matches this season: 4

Kepler in Liga Portugal

1 settled picks · ROI +83.0% · average CLV +2.15%

Full track record →