Mantova vs Sampdoria: predictions, H2H and market odds

Mantova have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.54 expected goals for, 1.29 against). Sampdoria have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.27 expected goals for, 1.04 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Mantova's recent matches and 50% of Sampdoria's; 60% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Mantova won 2, Sampdoria won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, finished Mantova 2–1 Sampdoria.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 46%. Kepler's model projects 1.51–1.04 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.