Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur: predictions, H2H and market odds

Manchester United have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.51 expected goals for, 1.36 against). Tottenham Hotspur have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (0.97 expected goals for, 1.10 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Manchester United's recent matches and 40% of Tottenham Hotspur's; 60% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Manchester United won 4, Tottenham Hotspur won 3 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, finished Manchester United 2–0 Tottenham Hotspur.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 63%. Kepler's model projects 1.90–1.23 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.