Manchester City vs Aston Villa: predictions, H2H and market odds

Manchester City have won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.61 expected goals for, 1.01 against). Aston Villa have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded (1.47 expected goals for, 1.52 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Manchester City's recent matches and 70% of Aston Villa's; 60% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 9 meetings Manchester City won 5, Aston Villa won 3 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 26 Oct 2025, finished Aston Villa 1–0 Manchester City.