Manchester City vs Arsenal: predictions, H2H and market odds

Manchester City have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.51 expected goals for, 1.34 against). Arsenal have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.34 expected goals for, 1.02 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Manchester City's recent matches and 60% of Arsenal's; 60% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 9 meetings Manchester City won 4, Arsenal won 2 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 21 Sept 2025, finished Arsenal 1–1 Manchester City.