Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth: predictions, H2H and market odds

Manchester City have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.52 expected goals for, 1.10 against). AFC Bournemouth have won 4, drawn 6 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.05 expected goals for, 1.05 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Manchester City's recent matches and 60% of AFC Bournemouth's; 70% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Manchester City won 6, AFC Bournemouth won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 19 May 2026, finished AFC Bournemouth 1–1 Manchester City.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.