Kepler

FixturesLigue 1 · France · Round 4

Kick-off: Sat, 12 Sept 2026 · 18:45 UTCStadium: Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir, Lorient

Lorient

2 – 2Full time

Toulouse

Lorient vs Toulouse head to head

In their last 6 meetings Lorient won 0, Toulouse won 3 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 21 Mar 2026, finished Toulouse 1–0 Lorient.

0Wins

3Draws

3Wins

21 Mar 2026ToulouseLorient101-0
9 Nov 2025LorientToulouse111-1
28 Apr 2024LorientToulouse121-2
3 Dec 2023ToulouseLorient111-1
23 Apr 2023LorientToulouse010-1
21 Aug 2022ToulouseLorient222-2

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Lorient vs Toulouse predicted score

Expected goals

1.37–1.25

Most likely score

1–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	58%	58%
Over 2.5	55%	52%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Lorient vs Toulouse odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.75	888Sport	58.4%
No	2.25	Betfair	41.6%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	2.00	10Bet	51.8%
Under 2.5	2.02	Pinnacle	48.2%

odds updated 18:37 UTC · 10 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Aurélien Petit

France

Yellow cards: 2.0 per match
Red cards: 0.0 per match
Fouls: 25.3 per match
Penalties: 0.0 per match

Matches this season: 3

Kepler in Ligue 1

9 settled picks · ROI −5.2% · average CLV +0.36%

Full track record →