Kepler

FixturesLigue 1 · France · Round 6

Kick-off: Sat, 10 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTCStadium: Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir, Lorient

Lorient

1 – 0Full time

Paris

Lorient vs Paris head to head

In their last 2 meetings Lorient won 0, Paris won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 5 Apr 2026, finished Lorient 1–1 Paris.

0Wins

1Draws

1Wins

5 Apr 2026LorientParis111-1
3 Oct 2025ParisLorient202-0

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Lorient vs Paris predicted score

Expected goals

1.16–1.35

Most likely score

1–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	57%	54%
Over 2.5	50%	48%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Lorient vs Paris odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.80	WilliamHill	54.2%
No	2.05	Betfair	45.8%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	2.03	1xbet	48.3%
Under 2.5	1.91	1xbet	51.7%

odds updated 18:05 UTC · 7 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Jérôme Brisard

France

Yellow cards: 4.3 per match
Red cards: 0.0 per match
Fouls: 27.8 per match
Penalties: 0.0 per match

Matches this season: 4

Kepler in Ligue 1

9 settled picks · ROI −5.2% · average CLV +0.36%

Full track record →