Lorient vs Paris: predictions, H2H and market odds

Lorient have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.25 expected goals for, 1.17 against). Paris have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.72 expected goals for, 1.03 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Lorient's recent matches and 50% of Paris's; 60% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 2 meetings Lorient won 0, Paris won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 5 Apr 2026, finished Lorient 1–1 Paris.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 48%. Kepler's model projects 1.16–1.35 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.