Liverpool vs Manchester City: predictions, H2H and market odds

Liverpool have won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.30 expected goals for, 1.46 against). Manchester City have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.48 expected goals for, 1.32 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Liverpool's recent matches and 60% of Manchester City's; 50% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Liverpool won 3, Manchester City won 3 and 4 ended level. The most recent, on 8 Feb 2026, finished Liverpool 1–2 Manchester City.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.