Lillestrøm vs Vålerenga: predictions, H2H and market odds

Lillestrøm have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (1.11 expected goals for, 1.77 against). Vålerenga have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 2.6 conceded (2.13 expected goals for, 1.90 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Lillestrøm's recent matches and 70% of Vålerenga's; 60% and 90% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 7 meetings Lillestrøm won 4, Vålerenga won 1 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 19 Apr 2026, finished Vålerenga 0–2 Lillestrøm.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 66%. Kepler's model projects 1.96–1.47 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.