Lens vs Olympique Lyonnais: predictions, H2H and market odds

Lens have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.81 expected goals for, 1.28 against). Olympique Lyonnais have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.56 expected goals for, 1.11 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Lens's recent matches and 60% of Olympique Lyonnais's; 60% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings Lens won 5, Olympique Lyonnais won 3 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 17 May 2026, finished Olympique Lyonnais 0–4 Lens.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 63%. Kepler's model projects 1.60–1.24 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.