Kepler

FixturesLa Liga 2 · Spain · Round 7

Kick-off: Mon, 28 Sept 2026 · 18:30 UTCStadium: Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés

Leganés

0 – 2Full time

Castellón

Leganés vs Castellón head to head

In their last 2 meetings Leganés won 0, Castellón won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 16 Jan 2026, finished Castellón 2–0 Leganés.

0Wins

0Draws

2Wins

16 Jan 2026CastellónLeganés202-0
29 Sept 2025LeganésCastellón010-1

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Leganés vs Castellón predicted score

Expected goals

1.16–1.26

Most likely score

1–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	51%	56%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Leganés vs Castellón odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.72	bet365	56.3%
No	2.16	1xbet	43.7%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.92	Pinnacle	50.6%
Under 2.5	2.01	1xbet	49.4%

odds updated 12:02 UTC · 7 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Alejandro Ojaos Valera

Spain

Yellow cards: 5.0 per match
Red cards: 0.6 per match
Fouls: 24.2 per match
Penalties: 0.6 per match

Matches this season: 5

Kepler in La Liga 2

7 settled picks · ROI −72.6% · average CLV −1.45%

Full track record →