Leeds United vs Crystal Palace: predictions, H2H and market odds

Leeds United have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.36 expected goals for, 1.48 against). Crystal Palace have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded (1.41 expected goals for, 1.60 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Leeds United's recent matches and 70% of Crystal Palace's; 50% and 90% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 6 meetings Leeds United won 2, Crystal Palace won 2 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 15 Mar 2026, finished Crystal Palace 0–0 Leeds United.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 57%. Kepler's model projects 1.53–1.16 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.