Lech Poznań vs Radomiak Radom: predictions, H2H and market odds

Lech Poznań have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.46 expected goals for, 1.03 against). Radomiak Radom have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 2.4 conceded (1.14 expected goals for, 1.54 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Lech Poznań's recent matches and 60% of Radomiak Radom's; 70% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings Lech Poznań won 5, Radomiak Radom won 1 and 4 ended level. The most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Radomiak Radom 1–3 Lech Poznań.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 68%. Kepler's model projects 2.38–0.92 in expected goals, with 2–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.