Kepler

FixturesSerie A · Italy · Round 6

Kick-off: Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTCStadium: Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, Lecce

Lecce

1 – 2Full time

Bologna

Lecce vs Bologna head to head

In their last 8 meetings Lecce won 0, Bologna won 5 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 12 Apr 2026, finished Bologna 2–0 Lecce.

0Wins

3Draws

5Wins

12 Apr 2026BolognaLecce202-0
28 Sept 2025LecceBologna222-2
9 Feb 2025LecceBologna000-0
2 Nov 2024BolognaLecce101-0
11 Feb 2024BolognaLecce404-0
3 Dec 2023LecceBologna111-1
4 Jun 2023LecceBologna232-3
23 Oct 2022BolognaLecce202-0

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Lecce vs Bologna predicted score

Expected goals

0.77–1.35

Most likely score

0–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	51%	51%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Lecce vs Bologna odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.95	bet365	51.1%
No	1.91	Betfair	48.9%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	2.18	Pinnacle	44.4%
Under 2.5	1.81	1xbet	55.6%

odds updated 19:05 UTC · 7 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Luca Pairetto

Italy

Yellow cards: 2.7 per match
Red cards: 0.0 per match
Fouls: 19.0 per match
Penalties: 0.0 per match

Matches this season: 3

Kepler in Serie A

12 settled picks · ROI +8.8% · average CLV +0.68%

Full track record →