Lecce vs Bologna: predictions, H2H and market odds

Lecce have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.23 expected goals for, 2.12 against). Bologna have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.06 expected goals for, 1.03 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of Lecce's recent matches and 40% of Bologna's; 50% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Lecce won 0, Bologna won 5 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 12 Apr 2026, finished Bologna 2–0 Lecce.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 44%. Kepler's model projects 0.77–1.35 in expected goals, with 0–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 51%.