Lazio vs AC Milan: predictions, H2H and market odds

Lazio and AC Milan met on Saturday, 12 September 2026 (Serie A); it finished Lazio 2–2 AC Milan. The match was played at Stadio Olimpico, Roma.

Lazio have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.46 expected goals for, 1.31 against). AC Milan have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.29 expected goals for, 1.39 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Lazio's recent matches and 50% of AC Milan's; 50% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Lazio won 3, AC Milan won 6 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 15 Mar 2026, finished Lazio 1–0 AC Milan.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 43%. Kepler's model projects 1.14–1.25 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

Team form

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Lazio vs AC Milan head to head

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3Wins

1Draws

6Wins

15 Mar 2026LazioAC Milan101-0
29 Nov 2025AC MilanLazio101-0
2 Mar 2025AC MilanLazio121-2

Lazio vs AC Milan: questions and answers

When is Lazio vs AC Milan?

Lazio vs AC Milan was played on 12 September 2026 (Serie A).

Where is Lazio vs AC Milan played?

The match was played at Stadio Olimpico, Roma.

Will both teams score in Lazio vs AC Milan?

Yes: it finished Lazio 2–2 AC Milan. Before kickoff, the market had both teams to score at 52%, margin removed. Kepler's model gives 57%. Both teams scored in 40% of Lazio's recent matches and 50% of AC Milan's.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lazio vs AC Milan?

Yes: it finished Lazio 2–2 AC Milan. Before kickoff, the market had over 2.5 goals at 43%, margin removed. Kepler's model gives 51%. 50% of Lazio's recent matches and 50% of AC Milan's went over 2.5 goals.