Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa: predictions, H2H and market odds

Korona Kielce have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.13 expected goals for, 1.02 against). Raków Częstochowa have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (1.32 expected goals for, 1.85 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Korona Kielce's recent matches and 80% of Raków Częstochowa's; 20% and 90% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Korona Kielce won 1, Raków Częstochowa won 5 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 8 May 2026, finished Raków Częstochowa 2–0 Korona Kielce.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 52%. Kepler's model projects 1.14–1.14 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.