Goiás vs Athletic Club: predictions, H2H and market odds

Goiás have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.16 expected goals for, 1.51 against). Athletic Club have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.45 expected goals for, 1.54 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Goiás's recent matches and 60% of Athletic Club's; 40% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 3 meetings Goiás won 0, Athletic Club won 1 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 14 Jun 2026, finished Athletic Club 1–1 Goiás.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 39%. Kepler's model projects 1.38–0.96 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 51%.