Genoa vs Frosinone: predictions, H2H and market odds

Genoa have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (0.95 expected goals for, 1.40 against). Frosinone have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 0.6 conceded (1.78 expected goals for, 1.23 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Genoa's recent matches and 40% of Frosinone's; 40% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Genoa won 1, Frosinone won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 30 Mar 2024, finished Genoa 1–1 Frosinone.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 53%. Kepler's model projects 1.36–1.34 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.