Kepler

FixturesSerie A · Italy · Round 6

Kick-off: Sat, 10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTCStadium: Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova

Genoa

2 – 1Full time

Fiorentina

Genoa vs Fiorentina head to head

In their last 8 meetings Genoa won 0, Fiorentina won 5 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 10 May 2026, finished Fiorentina 0–0 Genoa.

0Wins

3Draws

5Wins

10 May 2026FiorentinaGenoa000-0
9 Nov 2025GenoaFiorentina222-2
2 Feb 2025FiorentinaGenoa212-1
31 Oct 2024GenoaFiorentina010-1
15 Apr 2024FiorentinaGenoa111-1
19 Aug 2023GenoaFiorentina141-4
17 Jan 2022FiorentinaGenoa606-0
18 Sept 2021GenoaFiorentina121-2

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Genoa vs Fiorentina predicted score

Expected goals

1.13–1.31

Most likely score

1–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	54%	54%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Genoa vs Fiorentina odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.80	bet365	54.2%
No	2.05	Betfair	45.8%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	2.15	1xbet	45.4%
Under 2.5	1.82	1xbet	54.6%

odds updated 12:05 UTC · 7 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Fabio Maresca

Italy

Yellow cards: 6.0 per match
Red cards: 0.0 per match
Fouls: 28.3 per match
Penalties: 0.0 per match

Matches this season: 3

Kepler in Serie A

12 settled picks · ROI +8.8% · average CLV +0.68%

Full track record →