Fulham vs Manchester United: predictions, H2H and market odds

Fulham have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.10 expected goals for, 1.44 against). Manchester United have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.50 expected goals for, 1.21 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of Fulham's recent matches and 50% of Manchester United's; 30% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Fulham won 1, Manchester United won 6 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 1 Feb 2026, finished Manchester United 3–2 Fulham.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 61%. Kepler's model projects 1.36–1.42 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.