Kepler

FixturesEliteserien · Norway · Round 23

Kick-off: Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTCStadium: Nye Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad

Fredrikstad

1 – 1Full time

Tromsø

Fredrikstad vs Tromsø head to head

In their last 5 meetings Fredrikstad won 0, Tromsø won 3 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 15 Mar 2026, finished Tromsø 4–0 Fredrikstad.

0Wins

2Draws

3Wins

15 Mar 2026TromsøFredrikstad404-0
2 Aug 2025TromsøFredrikstad000-0
29 Jun 2025FredrikstadTromsø010-1
29 May 2024TromsøFredrikstad303-0
25 May 2024FredrikstadTromsø000-0

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Fredrikstad vs Tromsø predicted score

Expected goals

1.21–1.17

Most likely score

1–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	57%	57%
Over 2.5	54%	50%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Fredrikstad vs Tromsø odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.70	bet365	57.1%
No	2.20	Betfair	42.9%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.93	Pinnacle	50.1%
Under 2.5	1.95	bet365	49.9%

odds updated 19:05 UTC · 7 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen

Norway

Yellow cards: 3.9 per match
Red cards: 0.08 per match
Fouls: 21.5 per match
Penalties: 0.46 per match

Matches this season: 13

Kepler in Eliteserien

2 settled picks · ROI −100.0% · average CLV +0.10%

Full track record →