Fredrikstad vs Tromsø: predictions, H2H and market odds

Fredrikstad have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.23 expected goals for, 1.08 against). Tromsø have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (2.11 expected goals for, 1.20 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Fredrikstad's recent matches and 60% of Tromsø's; 30% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 5 meetings Fredrikstad won 0, Tromsø won 3 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 15 Mar 2026, finished Tromsø 4–0 Fredrikstad.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 50%. Kepler's model projects 1.21–1.17 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.