Kepler

FixturesEliteserien · Norway · Round 21

Kick-off: Sun, 13 Sept 2026 · 17:15 UTCStadium: Nye Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad

Fredrikstad

1 – 1Full time

Sarpsborg 08

Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 head to head

In their last 5 meetings Fredrikstad won 2, Sarpsborg 08 won 1 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished Sarpsborg 08 2–1 Fredrikstad.

2Wins

2Draws

1Wins

9 May 2026Sarpsborg 08Fredrikstad212-1
8 Nov 2025Sarpsborg 08Fredrikstad020-2
1 Jun 2025FredrikstadSarpsborg 08111-1
28 Sept 2024Sarpsborg 08Fredrikstad010-1
13 Apr 2024FredrikstadSarpsborg 08222-2

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 predicted score

Expected goals

1.42–1.07

Most likely score

1–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	58%	59%
Over 2.5	55%	55%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.61	bet365	58.9%
No	2.38	Unibet	41.1%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.75	Pinnacle	55.1%
Under 2.5	2.20	Unibet	44.9%

odds updated 17:12 UTC · 10 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Mohammad Usman Aslam

Norway

Yellow cards: 3.0 per match
Red cards: 0.09 per match
Fouls: 24.6 per match
Penalties: 0.64 per match

Matches this season: 11

Kepler in Eliteserien

2 settled picks · ROI −100.0% · average CLV +0.10%

Full track record →