Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08: predictions, H2H and market odds

Fredrikstad have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.44 expected goals for, 1.11 against). Sarpsborg 08 have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.26 expected goals for, 1.66 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Fredrikstad's recent matches and 60% of Sarpsborg 08's; 40% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 5 meetings Fredrikstad won 2, Sarpsborg 08 won 1 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished Sarpsborg 08 2–1 Fredrikstad.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 55%. Kepler's model projects 1.42–1.07 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.