Fortaleza vs Athletic Club: predictions, H2H and market odds

Fortaleza have won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.5 conceded (1.02 expected goals for, 1.03 against). Athletic Club have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.37 expected goals for, 1.48 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Fortaleza's recent matches and 50% of Athletic Club's; 10% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. Their only previous meeting in our data, on 30 May 2026, finished Athletic Club 1–0 Fortaleza.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 46%. Kepler's model projects 1.37–0.71 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 49%.