Kepler

FixturesSerie A · Brazil · Round 26

Kick-off: Sun, 6 Sept 2026 · 00:00 UTCStadium: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Fluminense

1 – 0Full time

Vasco da Gama

Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama head to head

In their last 7 meetings Fluminense won 2, Vasco da Gama won 4 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 19 Mar 2026, finished Vasco da Gama 3–2 Fluminense.

2Wins

1Draws

4Wins

19 Mar 2026Vasco da GamaFluminense323-2
20 Oct 2025Vasco da GamaFluminense202-0
24 May 2025FluminenseVasco da Gama212-1
11 Aug 2024Vasco da GamaFluminense202-0
20 Apr 2024FluminenseVasco da Gama212-1
16 Sept 2023Vasco da GamaFluminense424-2
7 May 2023FluminenseVasco da Gama111-1

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama predicted score

Expected goals

1.91–0.93

Most likely score

1–0

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	58%	50%
Over 2.5	58%	43%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.90	bet365	49.6%
No	1.90	bet365	50.4%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	2.22	Pinnacle	43.4%
Under 2.5	1.73	10Bet	56.6%

odds updated 23:51 UTC · 9 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Davi de Oliveira Lacerda

Brazil

Yellow cards: 6.2 per match
Red cards: 0.43 per match
Fouls: 24.2 per match
Penalties: 0.05 per match

Matches this season: 21

Kepler in Serie A

15 settled picks · ROI −39.4% · average CLV +2.45%

Full track record →