Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale: predictions, H2H and market odds

Fleetwood Town have won 2, drawn 7 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.23 expected goals for, 1.11 against). Rochdale have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.01 expected goals for, 1.08 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Fleetwood Town's recent matches and 40% of Rochdale's; 30% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. The two have no previous meeting in our data.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 52%. Kepler's model projects 1.61–0.89 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.