FC Barcelona vs Racing Santander: predictions, H2H and market odds

FC Barcelona have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (2.28 expected goals for, 1.17 against). Racing Santander have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (2.06 expected goals for, 1.51 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of FC Barcelona's recent matches and 90% of Racing Santander's; 70% and 80% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. The two have no previous meeting in our data.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 88%. Kepler's model projects 4.42–1.10 in expected goals, with 4–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.