Kepler

FixturesLa Liga · Spain · Round 6

Kick-off: Tue, 15 Sept 2026 · 19:30 UTCStadium: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche

Elche

2 – 3Full time

Real Madrid

Elche vs Real Madrid head to head

In their last 6 meetings Elche won 0, Real Madrid won 4 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 14 Mar 2026, finished Real Madrid 4–1 Elche.

0Wins

2Draws

4Wins

14 Mar 2026Real MadridElche414-1
23 Nov 2025ElcheReal Madrid222-2
15 Feb 2023Real MadridElche404-0
19 Oct 2022ElcheReal Madrid030-3
23 Jan 2022Real MadridElche222-2
30 Oct 2021ElcheReal Madrid121-2

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Elche vs Real Madrid predicted score

Expected goals

1.00–2.14

Most likely score

0–2

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	60%	56%
Over 2.5	63%	72%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Elche vs Real Madrid odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.70	888Sport	56.3%
No	2.15	10Bet	43.7%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.37	Unibet	72.4%
Under 2.5	3.75	bet365	27.6%

odds updated 19:26 UTC · 9 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Jesús Gil Manzano

Spain

Yellow cards: 5.3 per match
Red cards: 0.0 per match
Fouls: 27.8 per match
Penalties: 0.0 per match

Matches this season: 4

Kepler in La Liga

9 settled picks · ROI −38.9% · average CLV −0.07%

Full track record →