Derby County vs Swansea City head to head

In their last 6 meetings Derby County won 2, Swansea City won 3 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 14 Feb 2026, finished Derby County 2–0 Swansea City.

2Wins

1Draws

3Wins

14 Feb 2026Derby CountySwansea City202-0
25 Nov 2025Swansea CityDerby County121-2
5 Apr 2025Swansea CityDerby County101-0
27 Nov 2024Derby CountySwansea City121-2
9 Apr 2022Swansea CityDerby County212-1
2 Oct 2021Derby CountySwansea City000-0

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Derby County vs Swansea City predicted score

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	64%	53%
Over 2.5	60%	45%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Derby County vs Swansea City odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.83	bet365	52.6%
No	2.00	Betfair	47.4%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	2.16	Sbo	45.3%
Under 2.5	1.77	Pinnacle	54.7%

odds updated 11:06 UTC · 9 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

David Webb

England

Yellow cards: 2.5 per match
Red cards: 0.0 per match
Fouls: 19.8 per match
Penalties: 0.25 per match

Matches this season: 4

Kepler in Championship

28 settled picks · ROI −15.3% · average CLV −3.35%

Full track record →