Derby County vs Swansea City: predictions, H2H and market odds

Derby County have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.23 expected goals for, 1.08 against). Swansea City have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.27 expected goals for, 1.34 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Derby County's recent matches and 50% of Swansea City's; 50% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 5 meetings Derby County won 1, Swansea City won 3 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 25 Nov 2025, finished Swansea City 1–2 Derby County.